Tuesday, July 08, 2008

Current Stability in Iraq will Hurt Obama in Nov

The current US military plan (the surge) is working and Obama will have a hard time winning on Iraq.

The case becomes an easier sale thanks to the crippling of al Qaeda, the defanging of Moqtada al-Sadr's Mahdi Army, the growing confidence and capabilities of Iraq's central government, and the end to sectarian killing. (The number of "ethno-sectarian" deaths in Iraq, which peaked at over 2,000 in December 2006, were at zero in May 2008.) There is no civil war here to police.

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